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Cowboys Edge Rusher's Trade Odds Soar After Von Miller
Photo: The Sporting News
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Cowboys Edge Rusher's Trade Odds Soar After Von Miller

Vikas Singh·2026-08-21·4 min read

Cowboys edge rusher's trade odds hit 90% after Von Miller signing. What's next for Dallas' defense in 2026? Full breakdown inside.

Dallas is cleaning house on the edge - and Sam Williams is the odd man out with the roster cutdown looming.

The Dallas Cowboys made a splash on August 19 when they inked future Hall of Fame edge rusher Von Miller to a one-year, $3 million deal. On paper, it was a low-risk move for a pass-rush desperate for depth. In reality, it shoved Sam Williams - the former second-round pick, often mislabeled as a 3rd-rounder - into a crowded rotation that simply has no room for him.

Just two days later, the betting market responded with thunder: BetOnline posted a 90% probability that Williams is traded before the September 1 roster cutdown. That’s not a whisper. That’s a scream. And with Dallas sitting at just $4.8 million in effective cap space, the writing is on the wall.

The Writing on the Wall: Why Sam Williams Is Suddenly a Trade Chip

Here’s the thing: Williams isn’t a bust. Far from it. In 12 games last season (he missed five with a knee sprain), he posted 5 sacks, 7 tackles for loss, and 31 QB pressures. His 81.2 PFF pass-rush grade ranked second on the roster - behind only Micah Parsons. He’s a productive, ascending player entering the final year of his rookie deal.

But the Cowboys’ defensive end room now reads like a veteran All-Star ballot: Parsons, DeMarcus Lawrence, Marshawn Kneeland, Von Miller, and Williams. That’s five guys for essentially three rotation spots. Someone has to go, and Williams - with a $1.9 million base salary and $500k in per-game bonuses - is the most movable piece.

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📊 90% trade probability - BetOnline's current odds that Sam Williams is dealt before September 1, 2026, per the sportsbook's latest line.

Dallas already made their stance clear back in May when they declined his fifth-year option, making him an unrestricted free agent in 2027. That wasn’t an oversight. That was a signal. Now, with Miller in the fold, the front office has the perfect excuse to cash out.

Table: Cowboys Defensive End Depth Chart (Post-Miller Signing)

Player2026 Cap HitStatusRole
Micah Parsons$21.3MAll-ProStarter/Elite Rusher
DeMarcus Lawrence$13.7MVeteranStarter
Marshawn Kneeland$1.4M2024 2nd-rounderRotational
Von Miller$3.0MHOF-boundSituational Rusher
Sam Williams$2.4MTrade CandidateOdd Man Out

The Trade Market Is Already Heating Up

As of this morning, no deal is finalized. But the interest is real. League sources point to three teams with active interest in Williams: the Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, and Carolina Panthers. All three are willing to part with a 4th or 5th-round pick for a 26-year-old edge rusher with proven production.

Why these teams? Simple. Each is desperate for pass-rush juice without breaking the bank. Williams costs pennies against the cap, brings immediate NFL experience, and offers upside as a rotational rusher. For Atlanta and Carolina specifically, they’re betting on his 81.2 PFF grade translating into a bigger role - something Dallas couldn't offer him.

The Cowboys are listening. And here’s the kicker: trading Williams frees up $1.9 million in cap space. That might not sound like much, but it gives Dallas breathing room for what they really want - a mid-season extension for Micah Parsons. In other words, Williams isn’t just a roster casualty. He’s a financial stepping stone.

📊 $1.9M in freed cap space - Trading Williams would push Dallas to roughly $6.7M in effective space, per current team salary figures.

Table: Reported Trade Interest in Sam Williams (As of Aug. 21)

TeamNeed LevelLikely Pick OfferedFit
Arizona CardinalsHigh5th-roundImmediate rotational role
Atlanta FalconsCritical4th-roundPotential starter upside
Carolina PanthersHigh4th/5th-roundYouth movement piece

Source: Yahoo Sports

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